Aston Villa vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1973 |
FUL
1 - 0
ASV
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
NOT
2 - 0
ASV
37%
30%
33%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
ASV
2 - 2
LEY
53%
27%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
ASV
1 - 1
FUL
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
MID
0 - 0
ASV
55%
26%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
SCP
2 - 1
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
CAR
1 - 3
HUL
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
CRY
3 - 3
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
CAR
0 - 0
SCP
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
CAR
0 - 0
FUL
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |