Aston Villa vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1962 |
IPS
2 - 0
ASV
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1962 |
NTT
2 - 0
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1962 |
ASV
5 - 1
NTT
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
ASV
8 - 3
LEI
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1962 |
EVE
8 - 3
CAR
78%
13%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1962 |
CAR
3 - 0
WHU
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
CAR
3 - 2
BIR
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1962 |
WHU
4 - 1
CAR
77%
14%
10%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
IPS
1 - 0
CAR
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |