Aston Villa vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1957 |
MUD
1 - 1
ASV
80%
12%
7%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 0
BUR
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1957 |
BUR
1 - 1
ASV
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 2
OPA
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 1
BRI
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1957 |
CAR
3 - 4
BPO
39%
23%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1957 |
CAR
2 - 2
WOL
33%
23%
44%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1957 |
LEE
3 - 0
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1957 |
WBA
1 - 2
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1957 |
CAR
1 - 2
BIR
48%
23%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |