Aston Villa vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1953 |
ASV
1 - 2
TOT
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1953 |
PNE
1 - 1
ASV
66%
18%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1953 |
ASV
2 - 1
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1953 |
BUR
3 - 2
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1953 |
ASV
5 - 3
MID
59%
20%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1953 |
CAR
1 - 0
MID
45%
24%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1953 |
SHW
2 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1953 |
CAR
3 - 1
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1953 |
WBA
6 - 1
CAR
74%
16%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1953 |
CAR
1 - 6
MUD
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |