Aston Villa vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1928 |
ASV
1 - 0
WHU
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
BBU
0 - 1
ASV
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1928 |
WHU
0 - 0
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1928 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1928 |
TOT
2 - 1
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 2
ARS
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 2
SHE
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1928 |
ARS
3 - 0
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1928 |
DER
7 - 1
CAR
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1928 |
CAR
1 - 5
WHU
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |