Aston Villa vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
WHU
1 - 0
ASV
30%
29%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1923 |
ASV
1 - 1
WHU
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
ASV
2 - 2
SHE
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
SHE
2 - 1
ASV
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
MID
0 - 2
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
CAR
3 - 1
SHE
54%
22%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1923 |
SHE
1 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
CAR
2 - 0
LIV
58%
23%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
LIV
0 - 2
CAR
60%
21%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
CAR
4 - 1
NTT
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |