Aston Villa vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
BBU
4 - 2
ASV
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1922 |
CAR
3 - 0
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
BBU
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1922 |
OLD
3 - 1
ASV
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
OLD
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
CAR
2 - 3
TOT
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1922 |
CAR
3 - 0
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
TOT
1 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1922 |
CAR
3 - 1
MUD
60%
20%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
MUD
1 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |