Aston Villa vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1926 |
LEE
3 - 1
ASV
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 3
ASV
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1926 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASV
55%
21%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1926 |
ASV
1 - 1
BUR
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1926 |
ASV
1 - 1
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1926 |
BCF
0 - 2
BBU
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1926 |
BCF
7 - 3
WBA
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1926 |
SUN
3 - 0
BCF
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1926 |
BCF
5 - 2
EVE
57%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1926 |
BCF
2 - 2
HUR
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |