Aston Villa vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1912 |
SHW
3 - 0
ASV
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
ASV
0 - 3
BBU
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
SUN
2 - 2
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
ASV
3 - 1
MAC
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1912 |
BCF
2 - 2
LIV
39%
24%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1912 |
BCF
3 - 1
SHE
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
MUD
0 - 0
BCF
86%
9%
5%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1912 |
NOT
2 - 0
BCF
69%
17%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
BCF
2 - 1
TOT
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |