Aston Villa vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
ASV
1 - 1
LIV
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1910 |
MUD
2 - 0
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1910 |
ASV
3 - 1
NOT
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1910 |
PNE
0 - 1
ASV
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1910 |
ASV
5 - 0
MID
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
SHE
3 - 0
BCF
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1910 |
BCF
2 - 2
OLD
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1910 |
BCF
3 - 0
LIV
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1910 |
MUD
3 - 2
BCF
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1910 |
BCF
0 - 0
NOT
60%
21%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |