Aston Villa vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1910 |
ASV
4 - 2
MID
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
BRI
0 - 0
ASV
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
0 - 0
ASV
53%
22%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
ASV
5 - 0
SHW
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
BRA
1 - 2
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
BCF
1 - 2
LIV
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
NEW
2 - 2
BCF
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1910 |
BCF
3 - 2
SHW
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
BCF
1 - 1
NOT
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1910 |
PNE
2 - 1
BCF
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |