Aston Villa vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ASV
0 - 2
WIG
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
BIR
0 - 1
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ASV
2 - 3
MID
43%
28%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
CHL
2 - 1
ASV
71%
19%
11%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
WYC
3 - 8
ASV
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
CRY
2 - 0
BUR
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
LEI
0 - 1
BUR
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 2
LEE
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
WOL
0 - 1
BUR
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
BUR
3 - 0
IPS
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |