Aston Villa vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1964 |
ASV
7 - 1
BRA
76%
14%
11%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
TOT
4 - 0
ASV
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
ASV
3 - 0
STO
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
NTT
4 - 2
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
ASV
3 - 1
REA
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
BUR
1 - 1
WOL
57%
21%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
SUN
3 - 2
BUR
31%
23%
45%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
BUR
2 - 1
LEI
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
CHL
0 - 1
BUR
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
BUR
0 - 1
LEE
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |