Aston Villa vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1964 |
BIR
3 - 3
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1964 |
ASV
0 - 3
BIR
60%
20%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1964 |
BOL
1 - 1
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1964 |
ASV
2 - 2
FUL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
ASV
2 - 2
SHW
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1964 |
BUR
1 - 1
BOL
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1964 |
BOL
2 - 1
BUR
26%
25%
50%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1964 |
BUR
1 - 0
STO
72%
17%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1964 |
WOL
1 - 1
BUR
48%
22%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1964 |
BUR
2 - 0
LEI
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |