Aston Villa vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1953 |
PNE
1 - 3
ASV
67%
18%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1953 |
ASV
1 - 1
STO
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1953 |
CHA
5 - 1
ASV
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1953 |
MAC
4 - 1
ASV
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
ASV
4 - 0
LIV
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
BUR
2 - 2
PNE
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1953 |
BUR
0 - 1
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1953 |
OPA
2 - 1
BUR
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1953 |
BUR
2 - 1
MUD
35%
25%
41%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
CHL
0 - 2
BUR
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |