Aston Villa vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
PNE
2 - 2
ASV
50%
22%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1952 |
ASV
0 - 3
TOT
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
MUD
1 - 1
ASV
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1952 |
ASV
2 - 3
STO
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1952 |
ASV
2 - 0
OPA
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
BUR
0 - 1
DER
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1952 |
MAC
0 - 1
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1952 |
BBU
3 - 1
BUR
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1952 |
BUR
2 - 0
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |