Aston Villa vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1948 |
STO
4 - 2
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1948 |
ASV
4 - 3
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1948 |
MAC
4 - 1
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1948 |
ASV
1 - 1
OPA
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1948 |
ASV
4 - 3
SHE
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1948 |
BUR
2 - 0
SHE
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1948 |
MUD
1 - 1
BUR
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1948 |
BUR
1 - 2
HUR
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 1
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1948 |
BUR
1 - 0
EVE
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |