Aston Villa vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1947 |
STO
1 - 2
ASV
59%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1947 |
ASV
3 - 1
BOL
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1947 |
OPA
2 - 4
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1947 |
ASV
4 - 1
PNE
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1947 |
MUD
2 - 0
ASV
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1947 |
BUR
4 - 0
SUN
37%
25%
39%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1947 |
EVE
0 - 3
BUR
73%
16%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1947 |
BUR
1 - 1
WOL
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1947 |
GRI
1 - 2
BUR
62%
20%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1947 |
BUR
1 - 1
MAC
37%
25%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |