Aston Villa vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
BUR
7 - 1
ASV
67%
18%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
ASV
1 - 3
EVE
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
ASV
0 - 2
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 3
ASV
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
BUR
7 - 1
ASV
67%
18%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
BBU
1 - 3
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
BUR
4 - 1
BBU
66%
19%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
PNE
0 - 3
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
SHE
1 - 1
BUR
41%
28%
32%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |