Aston Villa vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
ASV
0 - 0
OLD
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
MUD
0 - 6
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1914 |
CHL
0 - 3
ASV
35%
26%
40%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 0
BOL
72%
16%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
SHW
2 - 3
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
NEW
3 - 1
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
BUR
5 - 2
LIV
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1914 |
BUR
3 - 4
PNE
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1914 |
TOT
2 - 0
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
MUD
0 - 1
BUR
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |