Aston Villa vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
SHW
1 - 0
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
ASV
4 - 0
TOT
83%
12%
6%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
MAC
1 - 1
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
ASV
3 - 1
NTT
80%
13%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
MUD
2 - 1
ASV
61%
19%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
BRI
0 - 2
SHE
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
BCF
2 - 1
BRI
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
BRI
1 - 1
LIV
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
MUD
3 - 1
BRI
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOT
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |