Aston Villa vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
SHW
3 - 2
ASV
54%
22%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 1
BRA
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 0
ASV
55%
22%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 1
EVE
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1909 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
BRI
0 - 1
LIV
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
NEW
3 - 1
BRI
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1909 |
BRI
3 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1909 |
PNE
3 - 0
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1909 |
BRI
0 - 0
TOT
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |