Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
ASV
6 - 4
BBU
54%
25%
22%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ASV
0 - 0
WHU
62%
23%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
BBU
0 - 1
ASV
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
ASV
3 - 1
BBU
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2009 |
ASV
0 - 1
LIV
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
WAL
1 - 2
BHA
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
GUL
0 - 1
BHA
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
WYC
2 - 5
BHA
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
BHA
0 - 0
LEY
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
SWI
2 - 1
BHA
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |