Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 1
ASV
42%
27%
30%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1979 |
MAC
2 - 3
ASV
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1979 |
ASV
0 - 1
WBA
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1979 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASV
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
BOL
0 - 0
ASV
43%
27%
31%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
BHA
0 - 4
ARS
34%
28%
39%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
NEW
1 - 3
BHA
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
BHA
2 - 1
BBU
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
LUT
1 - 1
BHA
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
BHA
3 - 0
BRO
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |