Aston Villa vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
BPO
2 - 4
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1938 |
ASV
0 - 3
EVE
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
ASV
0 - 1
DER
53%
22%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1938 |
MID
1 - 1
ASV
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1938 |
GRI
1 - 2
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
BRE
0 - 1
WOL
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1938 |
BRE
1 - 0
ARS
53%
22%
26%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
EVE
2 - 1
BRE
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 1
HUR
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
BRE
1 - 2
BIR
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |