Aston Villa vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1911 |
ASV
6 - 1
OLD
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1911 |
ASV
1 - 0
SHE
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1911 |
NEW
6 - 2
ASV
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
ASV
1 - 0
PNE
81%
12%
6%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
ASV
5 - 0
LIV
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1911 |
BRA
0 - 1
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1911 |
MUD
0 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1911 |
TOT
2 - 3
BRA
51%
24%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1911 |
BRA
2 - 3
NOT
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
MID
1 - 0
BRA
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |