Aston Villa vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1909 |
SHE
3 - 1
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
SUN
4 - 3
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
ASV
1 - 2
NTT
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
SHW
4 - 2
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
BCF
2 - 1
BRA
67%
18%
16%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
BRA
0 - 2
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 3
BRA
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
BRA
0 - 2
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
BRI
0 - 1
BRA
69%
17%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |