Aston Villa vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
SHW
1 - 0
ASV
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
ASV
0 - 2
WHU
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
WBA
4 - 3
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1963 |
ASV
0 - 1
EVE
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1963 |
STO
3 - 0
BOL
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
BOL
1 - 1
BPO
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
WOL
2 - 2
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
BOL
3 - 4
STO
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
BBU
3 - 0
BOL
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |