Aston Villa vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1962 |
ARS
4 - 5
ASV
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1962 |
ASV
0 - 2
BUR
33%
24%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1962 |
BIR
0 - 2
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1962 |
ASV
1 - 0
WBA
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1962 |
TOT
2 - 0
ASV
85%
10%
5%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 1
EVE
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1962 |
BOL
4 - 2
CHL
52%
22%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1962 |
SHE
3 - 1
BOL
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 0
MUD
37%
23%
40%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1962 |
WOL
5 - 1
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |