Aston Villa vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1955 |
CHA
6 - 1
ASV
66%
18%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1955 |
ASV
3 - 1
BPO
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
ASV
0 - 0
SHW
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1954 |
ASV
2 - 1
MUD
42%
22%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
MUD
0 - 1
ASV
70%
16%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1955 |
BOL
6 - 1
WOL
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1955 |
MUD
1 - 1
BOL
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
BOL
2 - 5
CHL
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
TOT
2 - 0
BOL
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1954 |
BOL
1 - 2
TOT
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |