Aston Villa vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1931 |
SHW
1 - 0
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1931 |
ASV
5 - 2
WHU
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1931 |
CHL
3 - 6
ASV
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1931 |
ASV
7 - 0
GRI
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1931 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
44%
23%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1931 |
BOL
2 - 1
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1931 |
HUR
2 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1931 |
BOL
4 - 2
MID
47%
22%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1931 |
GRI
2 - 0
BOL
50%
22%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1931 |
BOL
4 - 0
OPA
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |