Aston Villa vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
EVE
3 - 2
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
ASV
3 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1928 |
ASV
1 - 0
WHU
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
BBU
0 - 1
ASV
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1928 |
WHU
0 - 0
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
BOL
4 - 0
WHU
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
DER
1 - 0
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1928 |
MUD
2 - 1
BOL
43%
25%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
BOL
1 - 2
SUN
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1928 |
BOL
3 - 2
MUD
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |