Aston Villa vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
TOT
1 - 3
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
ASV
1 - 0
WBA
62%
21%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1924 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1924 |
BIR
1 - 0
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1924 |
ASV
1 - 1
HUR
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
BOL
4 - 1
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
MAC
2 - 2
BOL
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1924 |
BUR
0 - 0
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1924 |
BOL
6 - 1
PNE
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1924 |
CAR
1 - 2
BOL
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |