Aston Villa vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
ASV
1 - 0
DER
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
DER
2 - 3
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
ASV
3 - 0
BBU
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
BBU
0 - 1
ASV
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
ASV
0 - 1
MID
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 3
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
BOL
1 - 0
LIV
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
BOL
3 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1921 |
BOL
3 - 0
PNE
68%
18%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |