Aston Villa vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
15%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
4 - 0
NEW
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
NOT
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
CHL
2 - 1
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
CHL
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
ASV
1 - 2
BBU
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 2
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 1
BOL
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
BOL
1 - 0
OLD
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
OLD
2 - 0
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
BOL
2 - 1
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |