Aston Villa vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
SHW
2 - 3
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1914 |
ASV
2 - 0
WBA
78%
14%
9%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1914 |
EVE
1 - 4
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1914 |
ASV
5 - 0
SUN
56%
21%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1914 |
BBU
0 - 0
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
BOL
2 - 1
LIV
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1914 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHL
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1914 |
NEW
4 - 3
BOL
51%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1914 |
BOL
0 - 3
PNE
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1914 |
BUR
2 - 2
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |