Aston Villa vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
SUN
3 - 1
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
ASV
4 - 2
MUD
75%
15%
11%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASV
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1912 |
ASV
5 - 1
MID
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
BOL
2 - 1
MUD
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
BOL
3 - 2
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1912 |
TOT
0 - 1
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 1
DER
69%
18%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |