Aston Villa vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.9%
14.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1936 |
ARS
1 - 0
ASV
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1936 |
WOL
2 - 2
ASV
61%
18%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1936 |
ASV
2 - 2
MAC
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1936 |
ASV
4 - 2
WOL
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1936 |
GRI
4 - 1
ASV
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1936 |
BBU
3 - 1
OPA
49%
23%
29%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1936 |
LIV
4 - 1
BBU
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1936 |
SHW
0 - 0
BBU
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1936 |
BBU
2 - 2
LIV
48%
22%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1936 |
BBU
0 - 3
BOL
53%
21%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |