Aston Villa vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1913 |
SHW
1 - 1
ASV
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 1
EVE
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1913 |
WBA
2 - 2
ASV
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
ASV
2 - 0
MAC
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
BRA
1 - 1
ASV
36%
25%
38%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1913 |
BBU
5 - 2
MID
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1913 |
BBU
0 - 0
MUD
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1913 |
NOT
3 - 1
BBU
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
TOT
0 - 1
BBU
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1913 |
OLD
0 - 0
BBU
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |