Aston Villa vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
WOL
0 - 0
ASV
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASV
72%
18%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
ANT
4 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
ASV
2 - 0
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
NEW
3 - 0
ASV
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
BIR
3 - 2
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
BIR
4 - 0
BUR
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
WOL
2 - 0
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
BIR
1 - 1
QPR
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
IPS
4 - 2
BIR
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |