Aston Villa vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
11%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1934 |
ASV
0 - 3
CHL
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1934 |
CHL
2 - 0
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 1
BBU
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1934 |
MID
4 - 1
ASV
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 1
LEE
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1934 |
BIR
0 - 4
SHW
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1934 |
SHW
2 - 1
BIR
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
EVE
2 - 0
BIR
70%
17%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1934 |
BIR
0 - 4
HUR
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1934 |
SUN
5 - 1
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |