Aston Villa vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1922 |
ASV
3 - 4
NOT
86%
10%
5%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1922 |
NOT
2 - 2
ASV
29%
23%
47%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
HUR
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
SUN
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 1
EVE
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
MUD
1 - 1
BIR
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 1
MUD
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
LIV
1 - 0
BIR
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1922 |
NEW
0 - 1
BIR
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 2
LIV
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |