Aston Villa vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
ASV
1 - 1
BBU
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHL
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
NTT
2 - 2
ASV
46%
22%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
ASV
4 - 0
NTT
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
SHE
1 - 1
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
PNE
1 - 1
BIR
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
BRI
0 - 0
BIR
70%
17%
12%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 0
BIR
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
0 - 0
NOT
71%
17%
13%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
2 - 1
MAC
52%
21%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |