Champions League Last 16
Global 2-2
Aston Villa vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
ASV
0 - 1
IPS
55%
23%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
WOL
0 - 3
ASV
32%
28%
40%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
BFC
1 - 2
ASV
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
ASV
3 - 2
WHU
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
COV
1 - 1
ASV
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
BFC
2 - 1
SGD
63%
19%
17%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
COT
1 - 2
BFC
11%
17%
73%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
BFC
1 - 2
ASV
76%
16%
9%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
BFC
5 - 0
BWA
88%
8%
4%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
ZUR
3 - 1
BFC
30%
24%
46%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | -1 |