UEFA Super Cup Final
Global 3-1
Aston Villa vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
ASV
1 - 1
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1983 |
FCB
1 - 0
ASV
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
35%
28%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
NOR
0 - 1
ASV
19%
23%
58%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
ASV
2 - 0
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
ZAR
2 - 2
FCB
37%
25%
39%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1983 |
FCB
1 - 0
ASV
74%
15%
11%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
FCB
1 - 0
SEV
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
VAD
1 - 3
FCB
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1983 |
FCB
1 - 0
VCF
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |