Aston Villa vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
SHE
1 - 2
ASV
41%
28%
31%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1994 |
BBU
1 - 0
ASV
53%
25%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1994 |
ASV
0 - 0
NOR
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
MAC
3 - 0
ASV
40%
29%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1994 |
ASV
0 - 0
EVE
56%
25%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1994 |
ARS
1 - 1
WIM
58%
25%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
ARS
1 - 0
CHL
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
ARS
1 - 0
PSG
49%
28%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1994 |
SHE
1 - 1
ARS
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
ARS
1 - 1
SWI
66%
21%
14%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |