Aston Villa vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
MAC
2 - 4
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1954 |
ASV
0 - 2
EVE
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1954 |
ASV
0 - 0
HUR
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1954 |
BOL
3 - 3
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1954 |
ASV
1 - 2
CHA
57%
20%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
ARS
0 - 1
OPA
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1954 |
SHW
1 - 2
ARS
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1954 |
LEI
3 - 3
ARS
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1954 |
ARS
4 - 0
BUR
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1954 |
PNE
3 - 1
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |