Aston Villa vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1927 |
ASV
2 - 0
LEI
63%
20%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1927 |
ARS
2 - 1
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
SHW
3 - 1
ASV
41%
24%
34%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
ASV
1 - 5
WHU
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
TOT
0 - 1
ASV
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1927 |
ARS
4 - 1
WBA
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1927 |
ARS
2 - 1
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
SUN
5 - 1
ARS
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1927 |
NEW
6 - 1
ARS
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
ARS
0 - 2
HUR
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |