Aston Villa vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
EVE
2 - 0
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
ASV
0 - 0
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
BOL
4 - 0
ASV
59%
20%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
ASV
0 - 1
TOT
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
WBA
4 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
SUN
2 - 0
ARS
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1925 |
ARS
1 - 2
WHU
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
ARS
3 - 1
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 1
ARS
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
ARS
1 - 0
BOL
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |