Aston Villa vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1920 |
MAC
2 - 2
ASV
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 1
ASV
44%
25%
30%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
0 - 1
MAC
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
1 - 0
HUR
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
SHW
77%
13%
9%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1920 |
ARS
3 - 0
BRA
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1920 |
BRA
0 - 0
ARS
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
ARS
0 - 0
PNE
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1920 |
PNE
1 - 1
ARS
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 0
BUR
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |